Prognoza pe termen mediu 2007-2013 – varianta finala de toamna (pdf)

.5 27.1 102.1 27.6 103.5 28.6 101.6 29.0 Constructii Productie 113.0 85.0 107.8 91.7 110.5 101.3 107.0 108.3 110.5 119.7 105.7 126.5 Consum intermediar 112.9 46.0 107.8 49.6 110.4 54.8 106.9 58.6 110.5 64.7 105.6 68.4 Valoare adaugata bruta 113.2 39.0 107.8 42.1 110.5 46.5 107.1 49.8 110.4 54.9 105.8 58.1 Total servicii Productie 106.2 352.5 106.2 374.2 106.0 396.5 105.2 417.2 105.7 440.7 104.5 460.4 Consum intermediar 106.4 145.1 105.9 153.6 105.8 162.5 105.0 170.7 105.6 180.3 104.4 188.1 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.1 207.5 106.3 220.6 106.1 234.0 105.3 246.5 105.7 260.5 104.5 272.2 Total economie Productie 106.6 795.0 106.3 845.2 106.0 896.1 105.4 944.6 106.0 1000.9 104.6 1047.2 Consum intermediar 106.5 425.2 106.2 451.6 105.9 478.2 105.4 504.0 106.0 534.0 104.6 558.7 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.6 369.8 106.4 393.6 106.2 418.0 105.4 440.6 106.0 466.9 104.6 488.5 Impozite nete pe produs 105.5 46.3 106.3 49.2 105.0 51.6 103.1 53.2 104.7 55.7 102.3 57.0 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 106.5 416.1 106.4 442.8 106.1 469.6 105.2 493.8 105.8 522.6 104.4 545.5 5 Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 - miliarde lei si indici - 2011 2012 2013 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Valoare Indice Valoare Indice de RAMURA de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret la pret de la pret volum volum 2010 pret curent volum 2011 pret curent 2012 pret curent Industrie Productie 105.5 424.9 104.5 443.8 105.4 467.8 104.0 486.3 105.4 512.5 103.5 530.2 Consum intermediar 105.5 288.9 104.5 301.8 105.4 318.2 103.9 330.7 105.4 348.7 103.5 360.8 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.4 136.1 104.4 142.0 105.3 149.6 104.0 155.6 105.3 163.8 103.4 169.4 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera Productie 102.5 58.8 101.2 59.5 102.0 60.7 101.5 61.6 101.6 62.6 101.5 63.6 Consum intermediar 102.4 29.0 101.1 29.4 102.1 30.0 101.4 30.4 101.7 30.9 101.4 31.4 Valoare adaugata bruta 102.5 29.7 101.3 30.1 102.0 30.7 101.6 31.2 101.6 31.7 101.6 32.2 Constructii Productie 109.7 138.8 105.0 145.7 109.5 159.5 104.0 165.9 109.3 181.4 103.0 186.7 Consum intermediar 109.6 74.9 104.9 78.6 109.3 86.0 103.9 89.4 109.2 97.6 104.2 101.7 Valoare adaugata bruta 109.8 63.8 105.1 67.1 109.7 73.5 104.1 76.5 109.4 83.8 101.5 85.0 Total servicii Productie 105.7 486.7 104.0 506.2 105.6 534.5 103.4 552.8 105.6 584.0 103.0 601.7 Consum intermediar 105.5 198.6 103.8 206.2 105.5 217.5 103.3 224.7 105.5 237.1 102.9 244.0 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.8 288.1 104.1 300.0 105.7 317.0 103.5 328.1 105.7 346.9 103.1 357.7 Total economie Productie 105.9 1109.2 104.1 1155.2 105.8 1222.5 103.6 1266.7 105.8 1340.6 103.1 1382.2 Consum intermediar 105.9 591.4 104.2 616.0 105.8 651.7 103.6 675.2 105.8 714.4 103.3 737.8 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.0 517.8 104.1 539.2 105.9 570.8 103.6 591.4 105.9 626.2 102.9 644.4 Impozite nete pe produs 104.5 59.6 100.8 60.0 104.4 62.7 100.2 62.8 104.3 65.5 102.0 66.8 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 105.8 577.3 103.8 599.2 105.7 633.5 103.3 654.2 105.7 691.7 102.8 711.2 6 Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 CONTRIBUTII LA CRESTEREA REALA A PIB -%- 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Industrie 0.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera -2.4 0.3 -1.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Construcţii 0.6 1.2 2.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 Total servicii 4.3 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 Impozite nete pe produs 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 4.1 7.7 6.1 6.5 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 7 Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 STRUCTURA PRODUSULUI INTERN BRUT PE RAMURI - %, preturi curente - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Industrie 24.1 23.9 23.8 23.7 23.6 23.7 23.7 23.8 23.8 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera 8.5 8.0 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.5 Constructii 6.3 7.0 8.8 9.5 10.1 10.7 11.2 11.7 12.0 Total servicii 49.4 49.6 50.1 49.8 49.9 49.9 50.1 50.2 50.3 Total economie 88.3 88.6 88.8 88.9 89.2 89.6 90.0 90.4 90.6 Impozite nete pe produs 11.7 11.4 11.2 11.1 10.8 10.4 10.0 9.6 9.4 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 8 Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 COMPONENTELE DE UTILIZARE A PIB - modificări procentuale fata de anul precedent - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Produs intern brut - mld. lei 288.0 342.4 390.8 442.8 493.8 545.5 599.2 654.2 711.2 - crestere reala % 4.1 7.7 6.1 6.5 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 Consum final 9.5 11.5 9.8 8.2 7.1 6.4 5.6 5.7 5.3 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 9.1 12.6 10.2 8.6 7.6 6.9 6.0 6.0 5.6 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 9.7 14.1 11.1 9.3 8.3 7.4 6.4 6.3 6.0 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 4.9 2.7 4.0 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.5 3.7 2.0 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm. publice 13.5 2.7 6.5 5.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.3 Formarea bruta a capitalului 2.5 17.6 18.1 12.9 12.1 12.1 11.9 11.8 12.5 Formarea bruta de capital fix 12.6 16.1 18.0 13.0 11.5 11.0 10.5 10.0 10.0 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.la cresterea reala a PIB) -2.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cererea interna 8.0 12.8 11.6 9.3 8.3 7.8 7.1 7.2 7.0 Export net (Contributia la cresterea reala a PIB) -4.5 -6.4 -6.8 -4.2 -3.5 -3.1 -2.3 -2.4 -2.1 Export de bunuri si servicii 8.1 10.6 8.3 10.3 10.9 10.7 9.5 9.2 8.9 Import de bunuri si servicii 16.6 23.0 21.5 16.1 14.9 13.9 11.6 11.9 11.2 Consum final 9.5 11.5 9.8 8.2 7.1 6.4 5.6 5.7 5.3 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 9.6 13.9 10.9 9.2 8.2 7.3 6.3 6.2 5.9 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 9.0 2.5 5.4 4.3 2.8 2.6 2.6 3.5 2.2 9  Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 UTILIZAREA PRODUSULUI INTERN BRUT - mld. lei si indici - 2005 2006 2007 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret volum 2004 pret curent volum 2005 pret curent volum 2006 pret curent PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 104.1 256.7 112.2 288.0 107.7 310.1 110.4 342.4 106.1 363.4 107.5 390.8 Consum final 109.5 230.1 109.7 252.4 111.5 281.5 106.9 301.0 109.8 330.4 104.6 345.6 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 109.1 208.4 108.4 226.0 112.6 254.4 106.1 269.8 110.2 297.2 104.3 310.1 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 109.7 183.5 107.0 196.4 114.1 223.9 105.0 235.1 111.1 261.2 104.0 271.7 -- cumparari de marfuri 120.7 99.8 106.1 106.0 121.5 128.7 104.4 134.5 116.0 156.0 104.3 162.7 -- servicii 108.1 28.5 112.8 32.2 108.0 34.8 109.1 37.9 106.0 40.2 105.5 42.4 -- autoconsum si piata taraneasca 89.2 28.1 99.9 28.1 102.3 28.7 103.7 29.8 102.0 30.4 102.0 31.0 -- alte servicii 101.4 27.0 111.7 30.1 105.3 31.7 103.9 33.0 105.0 34.6 103.0 35.7 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 104.9 25.0 118.6 29.6 102.7 30.4 114.0 34.7 104.0 36.1 106.5 38.4 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm. publice 113.5 21.7 122.0 26.5 102.7 27.2 114.7 31.1 106.5 33.2 106.8 35.4 Formarea bruta a capitalului 102.5 60.1 108.8 65.4 117.6 76.9 107.9 82.9 118.1 98.0 105.1 103.0 Formarea bruta de capital fix 112.6 60.6 109.7 66.5 116.1 77.2 109.1 84.3 118.0 99.4 107.0 106.4 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.proc.la cresterea PIB real) -2.2% -1.1 0.3% -1.3 0.0% -3.4 Cererea interna 108.0 290.2 109.5 317.8 112.8 358.4 107.1 383.9 111.6 428.4 104.7 448.5 Export net (contrib.proc la cresterea PIB real) -4,5% -33,5 -29,8 -6,4% -48,3 -41,5 -6,8% -64,9 -57,5 Export de bunuri si servicii 108,1 95,7 99,1 94,9 110,6 104,9 105,7 110,9 108,3 120,2 101,1 121,5 Import de bunuri si servicii 116,6 129,3 96,4 124,7 123,0 153,3 99,4 152,4 121,5 185,1 96,7 179,0 Consum final 109.5 230.1 109.7 252.4 111.5 281.5 106.9 301.0 109.8 330.4 104.6 345.6 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 109.6 186.8 107.1 200.0 113.9 227.8 105.1 239.3 110.9 265.4 104.0 276.2 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 109.0 43.4 120.9 52.4 102.5 53.7 114.8 61.7 105.4 65.0 106.8 69.4 10 Comisia Naţională de Prognoză 9 noiembrie 2007 - mld.lei si indici - 2008 2009 2010 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret volum 2007 pret curent volum 2008 pret curent volum 2009 pret curent PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 106.5 416.1 106.4 442.8 106.1 469.6 105.2 493.8 105.8 522.6 104.4 545.5 Consum final 108,2 372,7 103,5 385,6 107,3 413,7 103,1 426,3 106,7 454,8 102,6 466,4 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 108,6 335,5 103,3 346,5 107,9 373,6 102,9 384,5 107,1 412,0 102,5 422,1 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 109,3 295,8 103,1 304,9 108,5 330,7 102,8 339,9 107,7 366,0 102,3 374,6 -- cumparari de marfuri 113,0 182,4 103,0 187,9 112,0 210,2 102,8 216,1 110,3 238,4 102,3 243,9 -- servicii 105,8 44,9 10